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Champion Data picks the top 30 draft prospects of 2013 | Herald Sun

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Champion Data picks the top 30 draft prospects of 2013
by:
Jay Clark and Sam Landsberger
From:
Herald Sun
November 14, 2013
8:00PM
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Dom Sheed could be a bargain for the Eagles.
Source: Supplied


THE AFL's official number crunchers select the top 30 players from across the country based on their performances in recent years.

If Champion Data was picking from a schoolyard this is how next week's national draft order would look. It only includes players who appeared at the national Under-18 championships. Our own draft experts Jay Clark and Sam Landsberger also run their eye over the rankings and how they might compare to the actual draft.
Champion Data Power Rankings
SuperFooty draft experts Jay Clark and Sam Landsberger discuss the top 30 prospects.

COLLINGWOOD is set to steal a top-three draft talent for the second year in a row.After welcoming boom ruckman Brodie Grundy at No. 18 last year they are again shaping as the big winners of the first round with dual All-Australian defender Matthew Scharenberg firming as the Pies' No. 6 selection.The 190cm backman was this week flown to Melbourne by the Demons in the hope he could slip to their No. 9 pick.In a Herald Sun exclusive, Champion Data ranked Scharenberg the third-best player in the pool. Extended Power Rankings published in the AFL 2014 Champion Data Prospectus available at www.championdata.com.au But the Dees hopes of landing the rebound king appear dashed with the Pies closing on a ready-made Heath Shaw replacement. 
Greater Western Sydney is set to take Tom Boyd with pick no.1 in the national draft. Picture: Michael Klein
Source: Supplied

1. TOM BOYDNo opponent has been able to compete against Boyd in a contest. The most powerful junior forward since Tom Hawkins. Accurate set-shot.WE SAY: The Giants will forget about missing out on Buddy Franklin when this bloke blossoms.
Pick me: Josh Kelly
Sandringham Dragons midfielder Josh Kelly is likely to score a place at GWS with pick two in the 2013 AFL Draft following an outstanding TAC Cup season.
2. JOSH KELLYThe best midfielder in the country. Kelly is a ball magnet able to win inside and outside ball and has exceptional skills on both sides.WE SAY: Melbourne may rue giving this running machine away. Looks a 200-game star. FOLLOW JAY CLARK ON TWITTER FOLLOW SAM LANDSBERGER ON TWITTER 3. MATTHEW SCHARENBERGElite intercept player and ball-winning defender. Has the capacity to push into the midfield. Reads the play exceptionally well.WE SAY: Sliding down the draft order, making him one of the steals of the draft. Queries on feet issues scaring some clubs. SCROLL DOWN FOR JAY AND SAM'S PHANTOM DRAFT LIVE CHAT WITH CHAMPION DATA DRAFT GURU FROM 1PM On a mobile device? Join the live chat here
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4. DOM SHEEDThe No. 1 ranked midfielder at the national carnival. A stoppage player who breaks away from congested situations and kicks goals.WE SAY: Eagles should get Sheed at 11, but Lions thinking long and hard.
Pick me: Jack Billings
Classy Oakleigh Chargers midfielder/forward Jack Billings will hope his distribution and polish around goal will prove too much for clubs to refuse in this year's AFL Draft.
5. JACK BILLINGSA creative and dangerous half-forward, earning back-to-back All-Australian honours. Creative by foot and clever overhead.WE SAY: Can amaze up forward but potential lies in the midfield. Saints looking to pull trigger at No. 3.6. LEWIS TAYLORBrent Harvey-clone dominated his two seasons in the TAC Cup. Taylor's ability to distribute the ball by foot on either side of his body is supreme.WE SAY: Only 173cm but as a pure footballer he's top five. GWS, armed with pick 14, watching closely.7. LUKE MCDONALDRebounds from defence with penetrating left foot. Wins own ball and is smart going forward.WE SAY: It will be a sexy halfback line when McDonald and Shaun Atley are breaking lines next year.
James Aish could head to the Dogs.
Source: Supplied

8. JAMES AISHLike Andrew Gaff a wingman with exceptional skills. But if the ball doesn't find him he may struggle.WE SAY: A surprise to see him so low. Dogs salivating with pick 4, but can get tagged.9. KADE KOLODJASHNIJ Creative rebounding defender likened to Grant Birchall. Run-and-carry specialist who will push into the midfield.WE SAY: Athletic backman is beautiful to watch. Suns in love with his rebound game.
Pick me: Ben Lennon
Ben Lennon will hope his razor sharp right boot will be the difference over his fellow AFL hopefuls at this year's National Draft.
10. BEN LENNONOverhead marking supreme but top strength is his booming right foot. Best suited as a third tall forward.WE SAY: Tigers praying he slips to 12. Not a genuine midfielder but a weapon on the flanks.11. MATT CROUCHA stoppage beast who thrives in traffic. Ball-winning machine averaging 38 disposals in TAC Cup. Knocks on his kick.WE SAY: Queries over his running ability could see him slide to join brother Brad.12. LUKE DUNSTANA big-bodied strong midfielder whose No. 1 strength is his stoppage work. Ranked elite for clearances at championships.WE SAY: Looks a cheap get in the 20s. Could emulate Ollie Wines' impact.
Pick me: Christian Salem
A big-bodied midfielder with a precise kick, Sandringham Dragons star Christian Salem is expected to be a top 15 AFL Draft pick in 2013.
13. CHRISTIAN SALEMClassy midfielder is silky on his left side. Doesn't need huge numbers to cut apart teams due to high efficiency.WE SAY: Averaged 145 SuperCoach points, justifying interest from Lions, Dees and Pies.14. CAM MCCARTHYContested marking machine with a big tank. Could be a unique key forward who pushes up to the wing.WE SAY: Shades of Matthew Richardson. Lions (pick 7) could pip the Pies.15. MITCH HONEYCHURCHDamaging midfielder hits the scoreboard. The only TAC Cup player to average more than 20 disposals and two goals a game.WE SAY: Clubs have him far lower but shapes as a value pick. Dogs keen at 42.16. MICHAEL GIBBONSA clearance specialist who averaged 118 SuperCoach points, 23 disposals and five tackles across 41 matches. Hit the scoreboard, booting 31 goals.WE SAY: A shock given clubs expected Gibbons to be a late-round chance.
Pick me: Nathan Freeman
Sandringham Dragons midfielder Nathan Freeman is known for his explosive speed and intelligence in the clearances and appears a tantalising prospect for clubs at the 2013 AFL Draft.
17. NATHAN FREEMANUnique ability to win clearances and contested footy but can also breakaway with super pace. Hasn't kicked a lot of goals.WE SAY: Luke Shuey-type would add much-needed speed to Lions onball division.18. MARCUS BONTEMPELLIConsistency the big issue. Struggled for Vic Metro but dominated some TAC Cup games onball. His size and skill allow him to play as a midfielder or forward.WE SAY: Finds time like Scott Pendlebury, but Pies going cold. One for Mick.19. TRENT DUMONTDoesn't win huge numbers but Dumont's class and poise under pressure a highlight. High disposal efficiency.WE SAY: All-rounder who hurts the opposition. Could sneak into the first round.20. MICHAEL APENESSBig man from a rugby background who plays forward/ruck like David Hale. Hasn't played much footy but takes a strong grab.WE SAY: One of the few big men in the draft but ACL recovery a worry for some.21. DARCY HOURIGANMid-sized forward who thrives in marking contest and is elite at ground level. A proven goalkicker, averaging almost two a game across 51 matches.WE SAY: Strong like Jack Darling. Had bumper carnival before SANFL form fizzled.
Pick me: Billy Hartung
Dandenong Stingrays winger Billy Hartung's speed and endurance should see him selected in the first round of the 2013 AFL draft, with St Kilda and Fremantle showing strong interest.
22. BILLY HARTUNGWeapons include elite ball use and a huge tank. Can burn sides with speed up the wing and wins most of his possessions uncontested.WE SAY: Saints have done a lot of work but late mail could see him slide into the 20s.23. TOBY NANKERVISReady-made ruckman overlooked at last year's draft. Wins the ball, pushes forward and produced similar numbers to Brodie Grundy last year.WE SAY: Nankervis and Rory Lobb are the two best genuine rucks. Dons might pounce.24. ZAK JONESPlays like brother Nathan (Melbourne) but with more pace. Contested ball winner is aggressive through the backline and midfield.WE SAY: In the frame for Tigers at 12 and Cats at 16 but won't get past the Suns at 20. PICK ME: Exclusive videos, analysis and interviews of leading 2013 draft prospects 25. BLAKE ACRESInjury-hit utility kept to 11 games this year. Classy ball use and at 189cm can play anywhere. Strong overhead.WE SAY: Clubs are divided but he fits Geelong's mould. Dockers watching.26. ZACH MERRETTLethal left foot does damage across half-forward, like brother Jackson at Essendon. Has midfield potential but best suited kicking inside 50.WE SAY: Hawks love their sharp left-foot kicking. Strong talk they'll go Dayle Garlett at 24.27. JAMES TSITASPressure king who excels at stoppages. Dominated every competition this year, including a 128-point TAC Cup SuperCoach average.WE SAY: Bit of a surprise this high but Tsitas runs both ways and is a big team man.
Pick me: Jay Kennedy-Harris
Jay Kennedy-Harris shapes as your classic AFL small forward and appears a tantalising prospect for clubs at the 2013 AFL Draft.
28. JAY KENNEDY-HARRISBest small forward in the draft who wins ball inside 50 and creates scoring opportunities. Showed in the TAC Cup he's now got midfield capabilities.WE SAY: Think Jake Neade. Excellent tackler who can defy height (173cm).29. BLAINE JOHNSONWas WA's second-leading goalkicker at the carnival. In-between size makes for a tough match-up on lead or overhead.WE SAY: Booming right foot is a weapon outside 50. Later pick.
Pick Me: Darcy Gardiner
Darcy Gardiner is regarded as the best key defender in the 2013 AFL Draft and is expected to go in the first round.
30. DARCY GARDINERClearly the best key defender of the draft and when involved in a one-on-one contest rarely gets beaten. More of a lockdown stopper than a creative backman.WE SAY: Linked to GWS at 14 but will slide to Saints or Lions.  HOW JAY CLARK AND SAM LANDSBERGER PREDICT THE TOP 30 1.Greater Western Sydney Tom Boyd (KF)2. Greater Western Sydney Josh Kelly (Mid)3. St Kilda Jack Billings (Fwd/Mid)4. Western Bulldogs James Aish (Mid)5. Gold Coast Kade Kolodashnij (Def)6. Collingwood Matthew Scharenberg (Def)7. Brisbane Nathan Freeman (Mid)8. North Melbourne Luke McDonald (Def/Mid)9. Melbourne Christian Salem (Mid)10. Collingwood Cameron McCarthy (KF)11. West Coast Dom Sheed (Mid)12. Richmond Ben Lennon (Fwd-Mid)13. Carlton Marcus Bontempelli (Mid)14. Greater Western Sydney Lewis Taylor (Mid)15. Sydney Rory Lobb (Ruck)16. Geelong Blake Acres (Mid)17. Fremantle Michael Apeness (KF)18. St Kilda Billy Hartung (Mid)19. St Kilda Darcy Gardiner (KD)20. Gold Coast Zak Jones (Def/Mid)21. Port Adelaide Jarman Impey (Fwd)22. Brisbane Trent Dumont (Mid)23. Adelaide Matthew Crouch (Mid)24 Hawthorn Zach Merrett (Fwd/Mid)25. Brisbane Daniel McStay (KD)26. Essendon Patrick Cripps (Mid)27. Gold Coast Jake Kolodjashnij (KD)28. Brisbane Luke Dunstan (Mid)29. Greater Western Sydney Tom Cutler (Def)30. North Melbourne Jay Kennedy-Harris (Fwd)
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